Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000629 0.000714 0.000804 0.000905 0.001017 0.001136 0.001271
2026-01-11 0.000493 0.000610 0.000741 0.000899 0.001084 0.001292 0.001542
2026-01-18 0.000416 0.000546 0.000698 0.000890 0.001123 0.001393 0.001729
2026-01-25 0.000366 0.000505 0.000676 0.000898 0.001176 0.001509 0.001933
2026-02-01 0.000324 0.000469 0.000653 0.000899 0.001217 0.001606 0.002114
2026-02-08 0.000278 0.000422 0.000611 0.000873 0.001218 0.001651 0.002229
2026-02-15 0.000242 0.000384 0.000577 0.000851 0.001222 0.001698 0.002344
2026-02-22 0.000217 0.000358 0.000557 0.000846 0.001246 0.001769 0.002490
2026-03-01 0.000196 0.000337 0.000541 0.000844 0.001273 0.001843 0.002642
2026-03-08 0.000175 0.000314 0.000519 0.000833 0.001285 0.001896 0.002766
2026-03-15 0.000156 0.000291 0.000497 0.000819 0.001292 0.001941 0.002879
2026-03-22 0.000148 0.000285 0.000499 0.000840 0.001348 0.002056 0.003088
2026-03-29 0.000138 0.000275 0.000495 0.000852 0.001393 0.002156 0.003282
2026-04-05 0.000125 0.000259 0.000479 0.000845 0.001409 0.002216 0.003422
2026-04-12 0.000113 0.000243 0.000464 0.000837 0.001422 0.002271 0.003554
2026-04-19 0.000105 0.000234 0.000458 0.000844 0.001459 0.002362 0.003739
2026-04-26 0.000096 0.000224 0.000449 0.000845 0.001486 0.002437 0.003902
2026-05-03 0.000085 0.000205 0.000425 0.000820 0.001469 0.002447 0.003971
2026-05-10 0.000075 0.000190 0.000405 0.000799 0.001459 0.002466 0.004053
2026-05-17 0.000068 0.000180 0.000394 0.000795 0.001474 0.002523 0.004191
2026-05-24 0.000063 0.000172 0.000386 0.000793 0.001494 0.002586 0.004340
2026-05-31 0.000057 0.000161 0.000373 0.000782 0.001498 0.002626 0.004453
2026-06-07 0.000051 0.000151 0.000358 0.000769 0.001496 0.002657 0.004553